Dr. Sherry Cooper spoke to a large audience this morning at the Real Leasing conference in Toronto. Generally, Dr. Cooper has a very positive outlook. Some of her suggestions / predictions are as follows:
- Canadian economy will remain strong through 2007.
- There has been no recession in Canada for 15 years
- Canadian growth is slowing as a result of the current economic adjustments in the US and manufacturing changes occuring throughout Canada.
- Canada's growth will be approximately 3 percent
- Living standards are rising
- Inflation rate is low globally speaking
- Following 17 interest rate hikes by the fed, they will rest for the time being. Canadian interest rates will remain below those in the US.
- Canadian dollar has likely peaked and should remain steady for forseable future
- Income trusts will continue to be strong as bond rates are so low
- There will be no overall major collapse of real estate prices in US
- The debt to disposable income ratio is at a record high for the US and Canada
- Wealth ratio in Canada has moved to record levels
- Active saving rates have plummetted
- People in the us are spending more than they are worth
- There will be a tremendous labour shortage in cda in the 2020's and as a result we will see increased outsourcing
- Immigration will open up more to try to off-set the labour shortage.
- Businesses will become more flexible with work demands in order to keep the boomers at their jobs for a longer period of time.
- Business investment in Canada is far stronger than in the US
- Commodity markets have likely peaked (energy, oil, base metals, gold)
- Boomers can count on no more than single digit returns on stocks for the next 2 decades
- The likelyhood of a recession in the US is higher than Canada
- Canada will see continued growth of just less than 3 percent. Provincial and federal budgets are in surplus.
- There will be a continued rise in canadian purchaisng power